Thursday, August 21, 2014

Tom Corbett - A Jobs Producing Governor

By Greg Harvey, Treasurer



When normal non-economists like us discuss the economy, we talk about jobs- the unemployment rate, whether companies are hiring or firing, etc. Sure, we may mention GDP or the trade balance, but the jobs report is the only tangible measure by which we can actually gauge economic performance. And this focus on jobs is not unwise, as many other economic measurements (such as those previously mentioned) are affected by the health of the labor force. Such a focus on jobs leads to the conclusion that Pennsylvania under Governor Tom Corbett is in a promising position as supported by the data explained in this post.

When Corbett came into office in 2011, the nation was still struggling from the 2008 crash. Though the Great Recession had ended (on paper) in June, 2009, the economy was in a period of economic stagnation, with unemployment stuck at around 9%. Pennsylvania was in a relatively better position at roughly 8% unemployment, but it was far from optimum. Something had to be done.

Once in office, Corbett began a series of business friendly policies which, as will be discussed later, have succeeded in boosting Pennsylvanian job creation. Perhaps most notably, he promoted natural gas drilling; the effects of which were written about by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Basically, largely because of Corbett’s support, Pennsylvania has become the second largest natural gas drilling state in terms of employment. Other states in the Marcellus Shale generally have less friendly business policies, like New York which bans fracking outright, and have not come even remotely close to matching Pennsylvania’s success. And these jobs, whose average pay of $83,000 easily beat the state’s median pay of $52,267, help to support many other PA industries, according to a Penn State study. Essentially, we can assume that many job gains in other industries since the drilling boom began were caused by Corbett’s adoption of natural gas drilling.

Even though the natural gas industry has been Corbett’s greatest economic success, he has done much more to make Pennsylvania a business friendly state. He’s introduced budgets that would end the simultaneous taxation of business income and business assets, reduce the state corporate tax rate (PA’s rate being the highest in the nation), and allow start-up business tax deductions to aid new businesses, among other positive plans.

Obviously, this would all be for naught if success didn’t follow. Thankfully, Corbett’s plans are working. In June, 2014, Pennsylvania’s unemployment rate dropped to 5.6%, well below the national average of 6.1% and even further from the 8.1% rate Corbett began with. And, considering that Corbett oversaw a decrease of 55,000 government positions, it’s clear that the private sector, easily the most important aspect of the economy, has done very well during Corbett’s term.

However, as with most of Corbett’s accomplishments, there is some ridicule of his performance.  Critics tend to point to PA’s 47th ranking of job creation in percent since 2011. However, as George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair points out, it’s expected that Pennsylvania’s job growth would be lower than other states because PA was hurt less during the Great Recession compared to the rest of the country. In other words, while other states may gain a larger percentage of growth, it’s merely to replace what they lost, and PA simply has less to replace.

Overall, the job market has made tremendous strides under Governor Tom Corbett. His adoption of business friendly policies, including natural gas companies, has put Pennsylvania in a much better position than when he took over in 2011. However, as is typical nationwide, our economy is not out of the woods yet. Therefore, we need Corbett, because no other candidate will embrace business and subsequently foster job creation like our governor has.

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